Are Mass Shooters Disproportionately Transgender?

Time For An Honest Discussion:

Are Mass Shooters Disproportionately Transgender?

“Truth never damages a cause that is just.” Mahatma Gandhi

On August 27, 2025 a transgender male identifying as a female went on a crazed shooting spree killing 2 children and wounding 17 other people at the Annunciation Catholic Church in Minneapolis. Ever since then the LGBT advocates, many of our government officials, and most of the media have been lecturing us on how transgender mass shooters are rare. Therefore, according to these midwits, pointing out that this mass shooter was a transgender is an unwarranted vicious transphobic attack on the transgender community.

Nonsense. To be kind, these assertions by the pontificating pinheads are nothing more than the droppings of a male bovine.

Before explaining why claims that transgender mass shooters are “rare” is false, we have to know what the term “mass shooting” covers and how it’s defined. The former is easy…the latter not so much.

The “mass shooting” category was created as a result of the 1966 mass shooting at the University of Texas. The sole purpose of creating this category was to track incidents where a person, or persons, went on a shooting rampage unrelated to other criminal activity. Simply put, this category was created to track the number of incidents where someone decided to shoot people independent of other criminal activity.

Unfortunately, there is not a universally accepted definition of “mass shooting.” Some like the FBI[1] and Mother Jones (MJ) require at least three fatalities excluding the shooter. Others like the Violence Prevention Project (VP) requires four fatalities excluding the shooter. A few like the Rockefeller Institute for Government (RIG) does not require a set number of fatalities or wounded, just that there are either one or both. However, the one thing all of these organizations have in common is that their definitions require the shooting to be independent of other criminal activity. In other words, gang violence, domestic abuse, drug violence, armed robberies, etc are all excluded. The reason these organizations exclude unrelated criminal acts is simple – if you include criminal acts then you are tracking gun violence in its broadest sense and not mass shootings.

Then there’s the Gun Violence Archives, (GVA) which dishonestly defines a mass shooting as any shooting in which four or more people are injured, excluding the shooter but including shootings resulting from underlying criminal activity. Gang on gang violence, drug deals gone bad, armed robberies, carjackings, and all other criminal activity in which a firearm was used and there were 4 or more people injured – excluding the shooter – are included.

If you want to know how many criminal acts resulted in at least 4 people being injured, then GVA is a great source. If you want to talk about mass shootings, its data is useless. Yet, GVA is the go to database after every mass shooting for most of the media and everyone else who has an agenda to push – like arguing that transgender mass shooters are rare. Why? Because GVA’s overly expansive definition results in absurdly high numbers that are great if you want to scare people, dishonestly push an agenda, or get clicks…but not if you want to have an honest discussion about mass shootings.

Most of our media routinely engages in “disinformation” and “misinformation” (remember those terms?) when trying to justify the claim that transgender mass shooters are “rare.” However, in their August 29, 2025 article Snopes elevates intellectual dishonesty to an art form by using just about every dishonest argument I have seen involving the topic of mass shootings in general and transgender mass shooters in particular. So let’s explore this article as an example of the arguments the media and transgender advocates normally make.

Snopes attempts to “prove” that transgender mass shooters are rare by using GVA data that does not track mass shootings, sleight of hand, a dishonest review of the VP database (that does track mass shootings), and an irrelevant 2023 Secret Service report of 180 “incidents” in which 3 or more people were “harmed” from 2016 to 2020.

The 2023 Secret Service report Snopes cites to as authoritative has numbers that are not remotely close to those reported by any other major database, employs a mythology that’s suspect at best, and whose definition of a mass shooting is ridiculous. Oh, and the study excludes more recent and relevant data from numerous sources – including the FBI, MJ, VP, and the RIG – that was available at the time the report was written.

Based on this amazingly poor report, Snopes confidently states that there were at most 3 transgender mass shooters out of 180 mass shootings that occurred between 2016 and 2020. Or as Snopes argues, “only” 1.67% of the mass shootings were committed by transgenders. As I’ll show shortly, that percentage is absurdly low.

However, even if one accepts Snopes’ flawed data, the percentage of mass shooters Snopes claims were transgender is twice as high as the transgender population of the U.S.!

According to the 2025 UCLA study Snopes’ cites with approval, transgenders makeup 0.8% of the U.S. population, yet Snopes amazingly claims that because they committed “only” 1.67% of the mass shootings, transgender mass shooters are rare. Do they even read their own words?

Snopes’ own numbers, as flawed as they are, show transgenders account for twice as many mass shootings as their percentage of the U.S.  population. In other words, Snopes proved that mass shooters are disproportionately transgenders.

Not satisfied with citing a useless study, Snoops goes on to misrepresent the VP database by implying that since it only references 1 transgender as a mass shooter since 1966, that VP claims there has been only one transgender mass shooter since 1966. The problem with this claim is that the VP database does not track the number of mass shootings committed by transgenders.

To determine the number of mass shootings in the VP database committed by transgenders, you must compare those identified as transgender shooters by other sources to the definition VP uses for mass shootings, and then include those who fall within that definition in your analysis. If Snopes would have done this, they would have discovered that there are 3 transgenders since 2018 that fall within VP’s definition of a mass shooter and are included in VP’s database, not one. Additionally, the relevant data period is 2018 (the year the first transgender was identified as a mass shooter) to the present. Not 1966 to the present.

An honest review of the VP database since 2018 shows that transgenders committed 6.4% of the mass shootings VP tracks – which is 8 times higher than the transgender population of .8%. That by definition means that mass shooters are disproportionately transgenders.

Another sleight of hand trick Snopes’, and most others use, is to deny the evidence. For example, even though it’s confirmed that Anderson Lee Aldrich – the mass shooter who shot up Club Q in Colorado Springs was a transgender, Snopes claims he is not because the “nature” of the crime – shooting up an LGBT club and being charged with a hate crime – precludes him from being a transgender…even though there is overwhelming evidence, including Aldrich’s own statements, that he is a transgender.

Snopes also absurdly claims that there is no firm proof that Audrey Hale – a female identifying as a male who murdered 6 people at the Covington School in Nashville in 2023 – was a transgender. The proof that Hale was a transgender is overwhelming. Snopes does the same with Dylan Butler, a 17 year old who killed one person and wounded 5 others, in a mass shooting in Perry, Iowa.[1]

So what’s the truth about transgender mass shooters? To answer that question I compared the FBI, MJ, VP, and RIG’s data for the time period 2018 to the present.

Under the FBI, MJ, and VP’s definitions there were 3 transgender mass shooters since 2018. Using that figure, transgenders committed between 4.3% and 6.4% of the total mass shooters in the relevant time period…even though transgenders are only 0.8% of the U.S. population.

Using the RIG data and their more expansive definition of mass shooting you get similar results. RIG reports 136 mass shootings during the relevant time and 6 transgenders met their definition of a mass shooter. That results in transgenders committing 4.4% of the mass shootings, which is 5.5 times higher than 0.8% of the U.S. population that is transgender.

To ensure I didn’t miss something, I did an in-depth analysis of the MJ’s database for the relevant time period – 2018 to August 31, 2025.

MJ’s database identified 60 mass shooters who took part in 58 mass shootings during the relevant time. I used America Demografia to determine the total U.S. population and population by race and the August 2025 UCLA report – cited as authoritative by Snopes and other media organizations – to determine the transgender population.

I then determined the number of transgender mass shooters to include in the analysis by comparing the 6 transgenders who, depending on the definition used, have been identified as mass shooters from 2018 to August 31, 2025. Three of those were eliminated because they did not meet MJs’ definition of a mass shooter, leaving the following three transgender mass shooters included in my analysis:

– Audrey “Aiden” Hale a 28 yr old female identifying as male who in March 2023, killed 6 people at the Covenant School in Nashville, Tennessee.

– Anderson Lee Aldrich a 22 yr old male identifying as non-binary who on November 19, 2022 killed 5 and wounded 40 at the LGBTA Club Q in Colorado Springs.

– Snochia Moseley a 26 yr old female identifying as male who killed 4 and wounded 3 on September 20, 2018 at the Rite Aid Warehouse in Aberdeen, Maryland.

I then reviewed each entry in the MJ database for the relevant period to make sure transgenders were not double counted. Finally, I removed the transgender mass shooters from the race categories and included them in a “transgender” category.

The results of this analysis are:

This analysis confirms that transgender mass shooters are not rare. To the contrary, mass shooters are disproportionately transgender and are:

– 3.9 times more likely than Blacks to commit a mass shooting,

– 6.4 times more likely than Whites to commit a mass shooting

– 7 times more likely than Asians to commit a mass shooting

– And a staggering 11 times more likely than Hispanics to commit a mass shooting.

Another sleight of hand trick the media and transgender advocates play is to claim that ‘most mass shootings are committed by non-transgenders.’ That statement is true…but irrelevant not to mention ignorant to even utter.

Of course there are more mass shootings committed by non-transgender people for the simple reason that 99.2% of the U.S. population is not transgender and only 0.8% are transgenders.

If you want to compare all non-transgender mass shooters to transgender mass shooters you must compare apples-to-apples and not apples-to-elephants.

As the above chart shows, the number of mass shootings committed by non-transgenders is 0.176 per million. Whereas transgenders commit 1.071 mass shootings per 1 million. In other words, transgenders are 6 times more likely to commit a mass shooting than non-transgenders are.

Regardless of your position on transgenders, if you are honest and use data that tracks mass shootings, and not the GVA data that tracks overall gun violence, then you have to conclude that transgenders commit mass shootings at a significantly higher rate than non-transgenders.

So what’s the answer to stopping, or at least limiting mass shootings? I don’t know. But I do know that finding the answer starts with having honest conversations and not in spinning facts (lying) to promote an agenda or get re-elected. I also know that though transgender mass shooters are a problem, so too are non-transgender mass shooters.

It’s time to stop spinning in order to promote an agenda and start having honest discussions so we can effectively address this urgent problem.

[1] The FBI’s uses the term “Mass Killings” where other organizations use the term “Mass Shooting.”